Athanase Papandropoulos, The Big Crisis within the Government, not with EU partners
Emg Strategic Consulting, April 01, 2015
There was not enough leaked information regarding the long-hour talks of Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras with Chancellor Angela Merkel. However, according to safe sources, Greek PM’s conversation with the German Chancellor actually covered more issues than the economic support towards Greece, reforms and German compensations. Merkel led the conversation a bit further to the internal political situation in Greece and also to the relations of Europe, Greece, Germany and China.
Regarding Greece, the German Chancellor said in a clear manner to Tsipras, that in the upcoming June, it will be proved extremely difficult for the European Union to sign a new deal with Greece if the Independent Greeks party (ANEL) will still be part of the coalition government. Such a deal would be very difficult to be approved by the people in Germany, taking into account the widely known provocative anti-German stance of the ANEL’ leader Pan. Kammenos. Therefore, Chancellor Merkel implied to her interlocutor that until the new deal, Alexis Tsipras will have to search for new governmental partners who will not challenge Germany’s popular sentiment among others.
In this context, the German Chancellor – who doesn’t like that much ND’s President and former PM Antonis Samaras – predicted that New Democracy will very soon dismantled and one part of the party could actually play the role of the helping hand towards Alexis Tsipras, who would in this way, form a new coalition government on much stronger grounds from the current ones.
We should also underline that Merkel’s circles retain great relations with Karamanlis’
environment. Mr. Karamanlis has not actually hid his positive stance towards a coalition government between SYRIZA and a ND’s part.
This would also require a courageous political shift of Alexis Tsipras, a consequence of which would most likely be the split the ruling party -which evidently is not politically viable in exercising power. It should also be noted that within the government there is also turbulence which in time will give the opportunity to the leadership team to take “cleansing” actions, but which will also be of a clear political nature.
We also note that the partners-lenders monitor Greek movements in terms of foreign policy as well, which for the moment do not seem to have tangible results. The alleged approach with Russia may play a successful role for “domestic consumption”, but they have no actual results.
Russian penetration into Greek far-right and its web accesses is instead the real danger. The “e-pro-Russian propaganda” gets serious dimensions and its spread affects the wider Media as well. As it seems, though, this is the goal of Russian foreign policy regarding Greece, at least in this phase of Kremlin’s planning of
its relations with the European Union.
Within this environment and given the high debt obligations of the government from June onwards, the dilemma for Mr. Tsipras and his advisers is not so much the current deal with Eurogroup but the turnover to be carried out in order to save his reputation by avoiding becoming the Prime Minister of the country’s total collapse.
Unfortunately, until the time comes, the Greek economy will keep facing very serious problems and the uncertainty will have paralyzing effects on the activity’s total.
*Athanase Papandropoulos is the International Hon. President of the “Association of
European Journalists (AEJ)” and the Editor of the “European Business Review” print and online editions. He is a regular columnist at leading EU and Greek media and hosts his own TV show at the Greek business channel “SBC”.